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Home/Sectors/Physical AI
Physical AI

Robots, humanoids, robotaxis, drones

Reducers, bearings, servos, sensors and edge compute decide where AI leaves the data center and does paid physical work.

What stops robots and autonomy from scaling to serial volume?

Themes
9
Stocks
45
1M index
−3.9%
% in uptrend
27%

Physical AI index vs S&P 500

Equal-weight, rebased to 100 · 1Y
Bottlenecks

9 bottlenecks in Physical AI

Sorted by tightness score. Click through for supply chain, dimension scores, names and falsifier.

Japan / China ▲ Tightening

Precision Reducers

64

Every robot joint needs a strain-wave or RV reducer. Two Japanese firms dominate; Chinese suppliers are scaling fast.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−6.1%
YTD+28.9%
US / Israel ▲ Tightening

Drones & Defence Autonomy

60

Autonomous systems are now central to defence budgets. Motors, batteries and sensors with non-China supply chains are scarce.

Lead time6–18 mo
1M−6.3%
YTD−32.2%
Japan / China / US ■ Stable

Vision, LiDAR & Tactile Sensing

58

Robots and vehicles see through CMOS sensors and LiDAR. Dexterous manipulation still lacks good, cheap tactile sensing.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M+3.0%
YTD+23.6%
Japan / China / US ■ Stable

Servo Motors & Drives

54

Motors and drives are the muscle of automation, and rely on rare-earth magnets that come mostly from China.

Lead time3–9 mo
1M−6.2%
YTD−9.4%
US / China / Israel ▲ Tightening

Autonomy & Robotaxi

52

Driverless fleets are scaling city by city. Sensors, compute, mapping and permits gate the rollout.

Lead time12–24 mo
1M−8.8%
YTD−32.6%
Japan / EU / US ■ Stable

Bearings, Screws & Linear Motion

50

Humanoids use planetary roller screws and precision bearings in quantity. Roller-screw capacity is small and specialised.

Lead time6–9 mo
1M−4.7%
YTD+12.3%
US / UK ■ Stable

Robot Brains (Edge Compute)

48

Running vision-language-action models on the robot needs power-efficient edge accelerators — a smaller cousin of the datacentre race.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−3.6%
YTD+17.6%
US / EU / Japan ■ Stable

Factory Automation & Integration

46

Reshoring and labour scarcity push automation spend. Integrators and controls vendors are the existing, profitable expression of physical AI.

Lead time6–12 mo
1M−5.5%
YTD+10.2%
US / China / Japan / Korea ▲ Tightening

Robot Platforms & Humanoids

44

Pilots and funding are real; paid serial deployments are early. Public exposure is mostly incumbents and Chinese platforms.

Lead time12–36 mo
1M+2.9%
YTD−29.8%
Stocks

Every stock in Physical AI

Sorted by 1-month performance. Roles, not recommendations.

NameRoleRegionLast1D1MYTDOff highTrend
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors
Automotive and edge processors Netherlands $267.3 −0.82% +21.0% +24.8% −19.0%
1810.HK
Xiaomi
Consumer, EV and robotics platform China HK$29.98 −0.40% +19.7% −23.5% −31.4%
688017.SS
Leaderdrive
Chinese strain-wave reducers China ¥283.9 −6.29% +15.4% +47.9% −41.8%
OUST
Ouster
Digital LiDAR for industrial and robotics US $36.60 −4.24% +14.8% +69.1% −41.5%
6758.T
Sony Group
Image sensor leader Japan ¥4,281.0 +1.93% +12.2% +7.3% −8.1%
9880.HK
UBTech Robotics
Humanoid robot maker China HK$74.50 −2.74% +10.5% −41.0% −48.6%
TSLA
Tesla
Megapack storage, Optimus and autonomy US $397.4 +1.69% +8.2% −11.6% −18.9%
300124.SZ
Shenzhen Inovance
Chinese servo and automation leader China ¥53.11 −3.61% +7.7% −29.0% −33.9%
TDY
Teledyne Technologies
Imaging sensors and instruments US $647.6 −0.55% +6.3% +26.8% −6.3%
EMR
Emerson Electric
Process automation and controls US $166.9 −0.08% +3.6% +27.2% −2.2%
ESLT
Elbit Systems
Defence autonomy and electronics Israel $723.0 −0.34% +3.1% +25.6% −28.4%
SKF-B.ST
SKF
Bearings and linear motion Sweden kr 279.1 +1.56% +3.0% +17.1% −0.3%
QCOM
Qualcomm
Edge AI SoCs for robots and vehicles US $177.1 +0.32% +2.6% +5.2% −28.8%
HSAI
Hesai Group
Largest LiDAR maker by volume China $14.17 −3.34% +1.6% −36.7% −50.8%
SIE.DE
Siemens
Factory automation and industrial software Germany €277.0 +2.01% +0.9% +18.3% −4.4%
XPEV
XPeng
EVs, humanoids and autonomy China $9.46 −3.76% +0.4% −53.4% −65.3%
AVAV
AeroVironment
Small drones and loitering munitions US $120.8 −2.86% +0.2% −50.0% −69.2%
UBER
Uber Technologies
Demand aggregator for robotaxi fleets US $69.12 −2.21% −0.2% −15.4% −26.1%
AMBA
Ambarella
Edge vision AI SoCs US $61.06 −2.29% −0.7% −13.8% −36.1%
TKR
Timken
Bearings and power transmission US $110.4 −0.14% −1.7% +32.4% −23.8%
RBC
RBC Bearings
Precision bearings US $489.2 −1.09% −1.9% +9.1% −24.6%
SHA0.DE
Schaeffler
Bearings and humanoid actuators Germany €5.63 +2.18% −3.8% −30.2% −50.9%
6503.T
Mitsubishi Electric
Factory automation and servos Japan ¥4,968.0 +1.04% −4.0% +9.6% −23.8%
ROK
Rockwell Automation
Industrial automation and controls US $404.2 −0.49% −4.5% +4.9% −18.1%
6594.T
Nidec
Motors and actuators Japan ¥1,788.0 −0.33% −4.7% −16.1% −38.3%
6471.T
NSK
Precision bearings and ball screws Japan ¥1,012.0 +0.10% −5.8% +6.9% −25.9%
6861.T
Keyence
Machine vision and factory sensors Japan ¥75,030 −0.91% −5.9% +33.6% −14.0%
SYM
Symbotic
Warehouse robotics systems US $35.44 −4.50% −6.5% −40.4% −59.4%
ABBN.SW
ABB
Electrification, drives and robotics Switzerland CHF 70.42 −0.40% −10.7% +20.7% −20.5%
6954.T
Fanuc
Industrial robots and CNC Japan ¥5,521.0 −2.63% −10.8% −7.2% −33.7%
CGNX
Cognex
Machine vision US $50.77 −1.84% −11.3% +41.7% −29.8%
APTV
Aptiv
Vehicle architecture and autonomy hardware US $38.81 −1.52% −11.4% −49.0% −56.2%
KTOS
Kratos Defense
Unmanned combat aircraft and engines US $34.75 −5.29% −11.7% −54.2% −73.4%
GOOGL
Alphabet
Waymo driverless fleet and TPUs US $298.7 +1.79% −14.1% −4.4% −25.7%
PONY
Pony AI
Robotaxi operator China $4.43 −6.14% −14.3% −69.5% −74.5%
6268.T
Nabtesco
RV reducers for industrial robots Japan ¥4,154.0 −1.91% −14.6% +11.7% −28.6%
005380.KS
Hyundai Motor
Owner of Boston Dynamics Korea ₩266,500 −2.20% −15.0% −8.8% −64.2%
ZBRA
Zebra Technologies
Warehouse robotics and scanning US $317.8 −2.93% −15.7% +30.9% −18.7%
ARM
Arm Holdings
CPU IP inside custom accelerators, servers and edge devices UK $199.8 −1.76% −16.1% +82.8% −54.5%
RCAT
Red Cat Holdings
US-made small drones US $3.94 −8.28% −16.8% −50.4% −77.3%
6481.T
THK
Linear guides and screws Japan ¥5,487.0 −1.65% −18.1% +38.7% −32.2%
6324.T
Harmonic Drive Systems
Strain-wave gears for robot joints Japan ¥4,785.0 −4.17% −19.3% +27.1% −46.1%
6506.T
Yaskawa Electric
Servos, drives and industrial robots Japan ¥3,824.0 −1.57% −21.0% −18.5% −49.7%
MBLY
Mobileye
ADAS and autonomy stack Israel $5.64 −2.42% −21.1% −46.0% −54.8%
NVDA
NVIDIA
Demand aggregator for HBM, packaging, optics and robotics compute US $166.2 −4.34% −24.9% −10.7% −30.5%